Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 1.585495 1.830833 2.095981 2.403143 2.748452 3.123916 3.562305
2024-10-27 1.203565 1.542281 1.941086 2.442072 3.051090 3.763724 4.656685
2024-11-03 0.942484 1.326166 1.813519 2.470183 3.322974 4.383262 5.790086
2024-11-10 0.749258 1.148330 1.691100 2.469096 3.538876 4.939232 6.888203
2024-11-17 0.596907 0.991055 1.562118 2.427928 3.680670 5.396287 7.884766
2024-11-24 0.479319 0.858567 1.441571 2.372371 3.782754 5.793753 8.818964
2024-12-01 0.403812 0.775324 1.377868 2.385164 3.974531 6.321322 9.963704
2024-12-08 0.337818 0.694134 1.302734 2.365725 4.108023 6.765506 11.010383
2024-12-15 0.298016 0.650827 1.281824 2.427129 4.367292 7.410151 12.390913
2024-12-22 0.256840 0.596655 1.233149 2.433308 4.533216 7.916913 13.587658
2024-12-29 0.235914 0.578185 1.245212 2.544274 4.879808 8.728912 15.306582
2025-01-05 0.213856 0.553022 1.240559 2.622815 5.174541 9.472525 16.956099
2025-01-12 0.182471 0.502690 1.182383 2.599954 5.297247 9.954034 18.235275
2025-01-19 0.162601 0.474788 1.165757 2.655216 5.566692 10.704161 20.011033
2025-01-26 0.143733 0.445237 1.141247 2.691647 5.803776 11.413776 21.761364
2025-02-02 0.124941 0.411514 1.102299 2.693283 5.973423 12.013812 23.356493
2025-02-09 0.106063 0.372831 1.045736 2.650149 6.050149 12.449060 24.685129
2025-02-16 0.089210 0.335334 0.985527 2.590769 6.087011 12.810308 25.898309
2025-02-23 0.078543 0.313437 0.959786 2.604824 6.273671 13.460637 27.666338
2025-03-02 0.067784 0.288204 0.921213 2.583959 6.383836 13.969591 29.198015
2025-03-09 0.061949 0.277728 0.919726 2.650271 6.684300 14.861572 31.483736
2025-03-16 0.054610 0.259867 0.895091 2.656962 6.854218 15.505261 33.330294
2025-03-23 0.051769 0.257833 0.914858 2.776671 7.284466 16.691104 36.268024